17 Sep 19 The Farmers’ Almanac: What’s in Store for Winter?
Each year, people anticipate the arrival of the Farmers Almanacs’ winter weather predictions. Should I get a new snow blower? More importantly…should I get a new SNOWMOBILE? Do I need to start saving for heating oil now? How much shoveling is in my future? All of these questions need to be answered…and there’s nothing more fun than getting a little sneak peak into the future with The Farmers’ Almanac and Old Farmer’s Almanac predictions!
To start — keep in mind there are TWO farmers almanacs, both using a secret formula to make predictions. The Old Farmer’s Almanac, based in Dublin, New Hampshire, has been publishing weather predictions since 1972 with a mix of humor and useful information. The Farmers’ Almanac, published since 1818, is a Maine-based almanac with weather predictions and other random bits of information like “10 Best Bugs to Eat” and “When to Catch the Most Fish”!
In September, the anticipated (albeit controversial) Farmers’ Almanac and Old Farmer’s Almanac winter weather predictions came out, and this year they are slightly at odds. We’ve got our hopes set on the Maine-based Farmers’ Almanac, with their forecast of a “Polar Coaster” for the northeast…
So, what EXACTLY are the Farmers Almanacs predicting for Winter 2019/2020?
The Farmers’ Almanac
Photo: The Farmers’ Almanac
The Farmers’ Almanac predicts a colder-than-normal winter with heavy precipitation. It calls for lots of snowfall, but also a solid amount of the sleety slushy stuff along the coast. We generally find that’s true, with Central Maine (where we are located) seeing less slush and more snow — but our coastal friends getting more of a mix. If true, that’s good news for snowmobilers who travel to Maine to ride the 14,000+ mile snowmobile trail network, including the 100+ miles groomed and maintained by our very own Forks Area Trails Club! Think: groomed trail access right out your cabin door…dreamy, right?!
Northern Outdoors Groomer on the Trails
The Farmers’ Almanac predicts the coldest stretch to come during the final week of January and last through the beginning of February. This (might) make for some awesome riding for February break — finger’s crossed!
The Old Farmer’s Almanac
Photo: Old Farmer’s Almanac
The Old Farmer’s Almanac, similar to last winter’s prediction, is calling for a milder winter with warmer temps and near or below normal snowfall. It is predicting the snowiest times to come to the Northeast in mid-November, mid to late December, and early and late January.
Photo: Old Farmer’s Almanac
Believe it…or Not?
Great, great….but how accurate are these predictions really? The Old Farmer’s Almanac claims their forecasts average 80% accuracy, with some years dipping to 55% and others as high as 98%. Although these forecasts don’t tell a day-to-day story, they are supposed to give readers a general understanding of the winter and whether it will be above, at, or below average in terms of precipitation and temperature. The Farmers’ Almanac is feelin’ pretty good about 2018/2019 predictions and noted their accurate predictions of heavy snowfall in Maine. If you look back at our 2018/2019 Snowmobile Trail Reports, you’ll see a continual mention of snow…anywhere from 3″ – 12″ were mentioned almost every week! We had great riding into March, making our March Madness BOGO one of the best yet.
North Woods 4 Bedroom Cabin at Northern Outdoors
Ask a meteorologist, though, and they’ll doubt the accuracy of these predictions…
— Bryan Shaw (@WxShaw) August 27, 2019
Even when they love winter just as much as any of us! 🙂
— Jeff Cox (@JeffCoxWGXA) August 27, 2019
So the question is, are we really going to get a lot of snow this winter? In Maine, it’s hard tellin’ not knowin’. Feel free to keep an eye on our webcam and weather page to see for yourself, or better yet, book a cabin and experience it for yourself. All we can say is, accurate or not, we like the prediction of a big snowfall year…
What’s your vote: Believe the almanacs, trust in the meteorologists, or wait and see?