Which Winter Weather Forecast Will Be Right? El Nino Predicts Lots of Snow!

the forks maine snowmobiling

Pleasant Pond trail after an early season storm the winter of 2014-2015 .

What Winter Weather Will You Actually Bring Us, Mother Nature?

Leaves crunching under my feet and the crisp air say one thing to me–get ready for winter! Hot cocoa, sledding, down parkas and lots of fluffy white stuff. But how do I go about planning my winter activities when Mother Nature seems so darn capricious? Who knows what she’s got in store for us this season?

The Old Farmer’s Almanac Predicts a Repeat Snowy, Cold Winter for 2016

Well, there’s one resource that says we’re in for another doozy (or awesome, if you’re a winter sports enthusiast) of a winter: The Old Farmer’s Almanac. This 224-year-old publication uses a secret formula of solar cycles, climatology and meteorology. While it may be looked down upon by some meteorologists, it does have a reputation for overall accuracy, even though it seriously underestimated both the record snowfall for Boston and the above-normal temperatures in California in 2014-2015.

The Almanac’s forecasts focus on temperature and precipitation deviations compared with 30-year averages compiled by government agencies. And this year’s edition predicts another weather-filled year for the Northeast, the Midwest and even the Pacific Northwest. Unfortunately, not enough to significantly alter the drought affecting California. Below is one of the more scientifically oriented charts from the Old Farmer’s Almanac.

Screen Shot 2015-11-11 at 3.01.05 PM

Low temperatures will abound across the U.S. this winter!

Different Almanac, Same Winter Weather Prediction

Depending on your point of view (or where you live), a concurring opinion about this year’s winter could elicit a cheer or an expletive. The other almanac making the same winter forecast is none other than the Farmers’ Almanac, the slightly younger (only 197 years old) sibling of the Old Farmer’s Almanac. It makes a similar prediction for a cold and snowy 2015-2016 winter.

Screen Shot 2015-11-11 at 2.59.08 PM

This should look very familiar to all of us from 2014-2015.

Who’s your source?

So whom do you trust for your winter weather predictions or just the weekend forecast? Personally, when it comes to forecasts for an upcoming trip, I tend to hit the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) website and then I’ll dash on over to Intellicast just to double-check. What about YOU? Where do you go for your weather forecasting? We’d love to know your go-to resources so we can share them with others. Send us an email and we’ll repost it! Or post your favorite weather source on our Facebook page.

Ready to go snowmobiling? Well, there isn’t any snow yet but our Early Book Snowmobile Lodging Special is in effect now: 10% off all winter lodging for snowmobilers if you book 90 days out. Book early, save money, and get your snowmobile ready for opening day on December 31!



No Comments

Post A Comment